Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Post Season pitching awards.


With the passing of the legendary pitcher Denton True Young in 1955, baseball commissioner Ford Frick decided to honor the legendary hurler by naming a post season pitching award after him. The “Cy Young Award” has been awarded every year since 1956.
Don Newcombe of the Brooklyn Dodgers was the first winner of this prestigious award, which was given to just one pitcher per year. That practice ended with the passing of Commissioner Frick in 1966.
His replacement, Lt. Gen. William Eckert decided to expand the award, and to award it to a pitcher from each league, and that tradition has continued to this day. This past season saw Jake Arrieta of the Cubs and Dallas Keuchel of the Astros.

It is nice to recognize Cy Young (The nickname is a shortened version of the word Cyclone) since he has set records that it is safe to say will never be broken. His 511 wins comes to mind. Right now, a pitcher would have to win twenty-five games a year for twenty years, and then win eleven more just to tie the record. You have to go back to 1990 to find the last pitcher to win twenty-five in a season, and then go back another twelve years to find the next twenty-five game winner.
Young won twenty-five or more on twelve occasions, and topped thirty wins five of those seasons. In 1893 he won thirty-four games, but tied for second in the league behind Frank Killen of Pittsburgh.
Young also started more games than anyone else, toeing the rubber 815 times. Nowadays pitchers rarely start more than 33-35 games per season. To match Cy Young, a pitcher would have to average 35 starts for over twenty-three seasons.
He also lost 316 games, a record that no one will ever want to come near. That one is losing 15 games a year for twenty-one seasons, which more than likely won't be done again either.
Pitching in an era that was full of contact hitters, Cy held the all-time strikeout record, with 2,803 over his twenty-two years. His highest single season total was 210 in 1905, and he topped the 200 strikeout plateau one other time in his career.
He is credited with throwing the first perfect game in major league history, in 1904. There's a story there.
Rube Waddell of the Philadelphia A's, one-hit Boston in early May, and taunted Cy Young into changing his schedule so that they would face each other, and Waddell said he would repeat his performance. They met three days later, and Young pitched the perfect game. The twenty-seventh and last batter Young faced that day was Waddell himself. (Modern day fans note, there was no pinch hitter for Waddell, who made the final out, and took a complete game loss.


Born in 1867, Young began his career with the Cleveland Spiders on the National League as a twenty-three year old rookie in 1890. He pitched for Cleveland until his contract was transferred to the St. Louis Perfectos in 1899. That team was owned by the same man that owned the Spiders, and pulled all of the best players to his St. Louis team to create a powerhouse. (It didn't work, as the Perfectos finished fifth) In 1900, the St. Louis team was re-branded as the Cardinals, as we know them today.
In 1901, Young joined the Boston Americans (eventually to be called the Red Sox) and pitched for them until 1911, when he split his time as a forty-two year old between the Cleveland Naps (Indians) and the Boston Rustlers (Braves).
He was in the second class of players named to the Baseball Hall of Fame in 1937.

Cy Young

Born a twenty years later, in 1887, Walter Johnson had an arm described by Ty Cobb as “the most powerful arm ever turned loose in a ballpark”.

“The Big Train” went 5-9 with a 1.88 ERA and his Runs Allowed was very respectable 2.86 in his debut season of 1907. He would then earn double digit wins for the next twelve years, and then eighteen of the next nineteen years.
Johnson is second in career wins with 416, holds the record for most shutouts with 110, (twenty more than Pete Alexander, and thirty-five more than Young) and finished with a career ERA of 2.17. He became the first pitcher to reach 3,000 strikeouts in a career, and was the only one in that club until Bob Gibson reached that magical number in 1974. And his 3,508 strikeout total would take fifty-five years before Nolan Ryan would surpass it.
His 1.14 ERA in 1913, and is still the lowest ever for a pitcher with more than 300 innings pitched in a season. He won twenty or more games twelve times, winning thirty twice. He spent the entirety of his career in Washington, pitching in 2 World Series, winning one in 1924. He was one of the original five inductees into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 1936.

Walter Johnson

While both pitchers are legends, I feel that Johnson was a better pitcher than Young. In using the Hall of Fame criteria of ten years in the league, I will use the top 10 seasons of their careers to compare them. Since Young pitched in a different era of the game, one that the pitcher's mound was fifty feet away from home plate, and for a time, it was seven or eight balls for a walk, the top ten gives us a better gauge of their careers.

For Young, his top ten years are as follows:
Year
Won
Lost
ERA
RA
1891
27
22
2.85
5.18
1892
36
12
1.93
3.14
1894
26
21
3.94
5.84
1901
33
10
1.62
2.72
1902
32
11
2.15
3.18
1903
28
9
2.08
3.03
1904
26
16
1.97
2.46
1905
18
19
1.82
2.78
1907
21
15
1.99
2.65
1908
21
11
1.26
2.05

For those 10 years, he went 268-146 for a .647 winning percentage with a 2.12 ERA and a 3.21 Runs Allowed.

Johnson's numbers are:
Year
Won
Lost
ERA
RA
1910
25
17
1.37
2.24
1911
25
13
1.90
3.32
1912
33
12
1.39
2.17
1913
36
7
1.14
1.46
1914
28
18
1.72
2.13
1915
27
13
1.55
2.22
1916
25
20
1.90
2.56
1917
23
16
2.21
2.90
1918
23
13
1.27
1.96
1919
20
14
1.49
2.26

For those 10 years, he went 277-143 for a .671 winning percentage, and compiled a minuscule ERA of 1.59 and a 2.31 Runs Allowed average. Let that sink in for a minute. Over ten years, he averaged allowing less than two and a half runs per game. In 2015, the average pitcher Runs Allowed was 4.36, a full two runs more than Johnson.

Bear in mind that the ERA was not officially recognized as a statistic until 1920, so these numbers were culled from baseball-reference.com but these are the statistics that have been handed down for many years as accurate.

If it were up to me, and it is most definitely not, each post season, pitcher would be awarded the Walter Johnson Award.





Tuesday, May 24, 2016

1906, Chicago...


1906 was a fun year to examine.
Major League Baseball was played by sixteen teams in just ten cities. Boston, Chicago, Philadelphia and St. Louis each had two teams, one in each league. New York had three teams, including Brooklyn.

The team nicknames changed a little as well. The Browns were in St. Louis, the Highlanders were in New York, the Superbas were in Brooklyn. The Americans and the Beaneaters were in Boston, and Cleveland was home to the Naps, named after their manager, Napoleon Lajoie.

If you wanted to watch championship baseball, Chicago was the place to be.

The Cubs won an incredible 116 games that year and lost just 36 times. Their .763 winning percentage will not be seen again. In today's 162 game season, a team would have to win 124 games to beat that mark. But they were upset by the White Sox, who had only won 93 games.

The Cubs infield is fondly recalled in the Franklin Adams ditty, which has had a few names, but the one that seems to have lasted the longest is “Baseball's Sad Lexicon”:

These are the saddest of possible words:
"Tinker to Evers to Chance."
Trio of bear cubs, and fleeter than birds,
Tinker and Evers and Chance.

Ruthlessly pricking our gonfalon bubble,


Making a Giant hit into a double –

Words that are heavy with nothing but trouble:
"Tinker to Evers to Chance

The poem refers to the Cubs double play combination, with Joe Tinker at shortstop, Johnny Evers at second base, and Frank Chance at first. The gonfalon refers to the pennant, which would be the National League pennant. (I looked it up) And that trio was elected to the National Baseball Hall of Fame in 1946. The three were enshrined together.

One of my favorite trivia questions used to be: In the Tinkers to Evers to Chance combination, who was the third baseman? The answer was Harry Steinfeldt, but his name will come up later.

The 1906 White Sox were known as “The Hitless Wonders”, relying on their pitching and 'small ball' to win games. The Sox had a team average of .230 in the regular season and hit .198 in their World Series victory. They relied heavily on walks, stolen bases and sacrifice hits to scratch out runs. They had 35 more sacrifice hits than the second team in the league, and they led the league in walks by 70 more than their nearest rival.

They were in fourth place at the end of July, but went on an incredible nineteen game winning streak to pull away in the pennant race. It would take over 100 years for an American League team to batter that winning streak.

In one of baseball's greatest games, on July 4th of that year, Mordecai “Three-Finger” Brown of the Cubs faced off against Albert “Lefty” Liefield of the Pirates in the first game of a doubleheader. The Cubs and Brown won 1-0. What makes this game interesting is the fact that both pitchers pitched a one-hitter, and Liefield was the one who got the hit against Brown. Liefield gave up his only hit in the ninth inning, which led to the winning run.

In what would be a theme of the pitching rich “dead-ball era' performances, where the pitching far outpaced the hitting, Tom Hughes of the Senators and Fred Glade of the Browns matched shutout innings until the tenth, when Hughes homered to score the only run in the 1-0 shutout. Hughes became the first pitcher to pitch a shutout and hit a homer that scored the only run of the game.

In September, Jack Coombs of the Athletics and Joe Harris of the Boston Americans both pitched a complete game, with the Athletics winning 4-1. It was not unusual for that era for a pitcher to take a complete game loss. What makes this game unusual was the fact that they both pitched a 24-inning complete game, which is still the American League record. (One that I am confident won't be broken)


There were no post season player awards during this time, so I have free reign over dispersing whatever mythical hardware that would have been bestowed. But first, we'll look at the mythical power numbers for that year. That ranking is:
  1. Chicago Cubs          1st in NL
  2. Cleveland Naps       3rd in AL
  3. New York Giants     2nd in NL
  4. Pittsburgh Pirates     3rd in NL
  5. Chicago White Sox   1st in AL, World Champs

We'll now look at the pitching in each league, starting with the American League. As I mentioned earlier, pitching dominated this era, and as such there are some incredible numbers. But, since fielding wasn't necessarily a strong point, some of these numbers may be misleading. As I did with my analysis of the 1919 season, I will rely on a runs allowed factor instead of a earned run average. I will post both the official ERA and my runs allowed for comparison sake. For this season, the Runs Allowed for each pitcher averaged 40% higher than the ERA, meaning that there were that much more unearned runs scored. This is partly due to the inferior equipment (as opposed to the contemporary game we see today) as well as the style of play, involving sacrifices, hitting behind the runner, rundowns and plays where you force the other team into making errors when you can.

So, the top overall raw numbers for the top pitchers in the AL are:
Name
Team
W-L
Runs Allowed
ERA
Doc White
White Sox
18-6
1.93
1.52
Addie Joss
Cleveland
21-9
2.59
1.72
Eddie Plank
Athletics
19-6
2.98
2.25
Bob Rhoads
Cleveland
22-10
2.71
1.8
Barney Pelty
Browns
16-11
2.66
1.59
Jack Powell
Browns
13-14
2.84
1.77
Otto Hess
Cleveland
20-17
2.81
1.83
Al Orth
NY Highlanders
23-17
3.06
2.34
Nick Altrock
White Sox
20-13
2.97
2.06
Ed Walsh
White Sox
17-13
2.68
1.88

And then against their individual team averages, the rankings are:
Name
Team
W-L
Runs Allowed
ERA
Casey Patten
Senators
19-16
3.38
2.17
Eddie Plank

ABOVE


Jesse Tannehill
Boston
13-11
4.17
3.16
Doc White

ABOVE


Addie Joss

ABOVE


George Mullin
Tigers
21-18
3.79
2.78
Barney Pelty

ABOVE


Cy Young
Boston
13-21
4.29
3.19
Bill Dineen
Boston
8-19
4.16
2.92
Cy Falkenberg
Senators
14-20
4.1
2.86

Before we look at the overall rankings, just for comparison sake I want to show the difference between the ERA and the Runs Allowed. So in each league, the top 10 of ERA were:

AL



Name
Team
ERA
Runs Allowed
Doc White
White Sox
1.52
1.93
Barney Pelty
Browns
1.59
2.66
Addie Joss
Cleveland
1.72
2.59
Jack Powell
Browns
1.77
2.84
Bob Rhoads
Cleveland
1.80
2.71
Otto Hess
Cleveland
1.83
2.81
Ed Walsh
White Sox
1.88
2.68
Nick Altrock
White Sox
2.06
2.97
Harry Howell
Browns
2.11
3.19
Casey Patten
Senators
2.17
3.38


And then the Runs Allowed leaders look like this:
Name
Team
Runs Allowed
ERA
Doc White
White Sox
1.93
1.52
Addie Joss
Cleveland
2.59
1.72
Barney Pelty
Browns
2.66
1.59
Ed Walsh
White Sox
2.68
1.88
Bod Rhoads
Cleveland
2.71
1.80
Otto Hess
Cleveland
2.81
1.83
Jack Powell
Cleveland
2.90
1.77
Rube Waddell
Athletics
2.94
2.21
Nick Altrock
White Sox
2.97
2.06
Eddie Plank
Athletics
2.98
2.25


With all that information, I now present the top pitchers in the American League:
Name
Team
W-L
RA
ERA
Doc White
White Sox
18-6
1.93
1.52
Addie Joss
Cleveland
21-9
2.59
1.72
Eddie Plank
Athletics
19-6
2.98
2.25
Bob Rhoads
Cleveland
22-10
2.71
1.80
Barney Pelty
Browns
16-11
2.66
1.59
Otto Hess
Cleveland
20-17
2.81
1.83
Jack Powell
Browns
13-14
2.90
1.77
Al Orth
NY Highlanders
27-17
3.06
2.34
Nick Altrock
White Sox
20-13
2.97
2.06
Ed Walsh
White Sox
17-13
2.68
1.88

There is not much change from the original raw numbers, which sometimes does happen. Doc White was clearly the ace of the White Sox staff that year.


Now, we'll take a look at the National League. Worth noting is a trade between the Cardinals and the Cubs that happened on July 1st. The Cubs sent Fred Beebe and Pete Noonan along with some cash to St. Louis for Taylor, who was 8-9 with a 2.15 ERA at the time of the trade (his RA was 2.90) and went on to post a 12-3 mark with the Cubs, with a 1.83 ERA and an RA of 2.57. I have included his total NL averages on the following tables.

The Cubs also picked up pitcher Orval Overall (yes, that's his real name) on June 2nd form the Reds for $2,000 cash, and pitcher Bob Wicker. Orvall went 4-5 with a 4.26 ERA and a 5.68 RA for the Reds. But the twenty five year old then went 12-3 with a 1.88 ERA and a 2.65 RA for the Cubs the rest of the year.

The Cubs' pitching staff was unbelievably dominating, finishing with a team ERA of 1.75 and had the top three in ERA, and five of the top six at seasons end. They had two twenty game winners, and another with nineteen wins. They allowed an average of 2.47 runs per game, a full run lower than any other team. They steamrolled over the rest of the National League in winning 116 games.

So we'll look at the raw numbers for the NL pitchers:
Name
Team
W-L
Runs Allowed
ERA
Mordecai Brown
Cubs
26-6
1.82
1.04
Jack Pfister
Cubs
20-8
2.26
1.51
Jack Taylor
NL total
20-12
2.74
1.99
Ed Reulbach
Cubs
19-4
2.11
1.65
Vic Willis
Pirates
23-13
2.35
1.73
Carl Lundgren
Cubs
17-6
2.73
2.21
Joe McGinnity
Giants
27-12
3.37
2.25
Sam Leever
Pirates
22-7
2.90
2.32
Lefty Leifield
Pirates
18-13
3.17
1.87
Luther Taylor
Giants
17-9
3.42
2.20


And against their team averages:
Name
Team
W-L
Runs Allowed
ERA
Jake Weimer
Reds
20-14
3.10
2.22
Fred Beebe
Cardinals
9-9
3.64
3.02
Irv Young
Braves
16-25
3.94
2.91
Tully Sparks
Phillies
19-16
2.81
2.16
Jack Taylor
NL total
20-12
2.74
1.99
Jeff Pfeffer
Braves
13-22
4.11
2.95
Mordecai brown
Cubs
26-6
1.82
1.04
Carl Druhot
NL total
8-9
4.17
2.90
Bob Ewing
Reds
13-14
3.07
2.38
Doc Scanlan
Brooklyn
18-13
4.00
3.19


And as above, the best in ERA and Runs Allowed:
Name
Team
ERA
Runs Allowed
Mordecai Brown
Cubs
1.04
1.82
Jack Pfister
Cubs
1.51
2.26
Ed Reulbach
Cubs
1.65
2.11
Vic Willis
Pirates
1.73
2.35
Lefty Liefield
Pirates
1.87
3.17
Jack Taylor
NL total
1.99
2.74
Tully Sparks
Phillies
2.16
2.81
Luther Taylor
Giants
2.20
3.42
Carl Lundgren
Cubs
2.21
2.73
Jake Weimer
Reds
2.22
3.10

Name
Team
RA
ERA
Mordecai Brown
Cubs
1.82
1.04
Ed Reulbach
Cubs
2.11
1.65
Jack Pfister
Cubs
2.26
1.51
Vic Willis
Pirates
2.35
1.73
Carl Lundgren
Cubs
2.73
2.21
Jack Taylor
NL Total
2.74
1.99
Tully Sparks
Phillies
2.81
2.16
Sam Leever
Pirates
2.90
2.32
Bill Duggleby
Phillies
2.99
2.25
Bob Ewing
Reds
3.07
2.38

And the final audited numbers, here are the top National League pitchers from 1906:
Name
Team
Mordecai Brown
Cubs
Jack Pfister
Cubs
Ed Reulbach
Cubs
Vic Willis
Pirates
Carl Lundgren
Cubs
Jack Taylor
NL Total
Sam Leever
Pirates
Joe McGinnity
Giants
Lefty Liefield
Pirates
Tully Sparks
Phillies

Again, not many changes in the ranking. Factoring in the Runs Allowed in lieu of the ERA still gives Mordecai “Three Finger” Brown an incredible season. His 1.04 ERA is still the National League record for the lowest in a season, and is one of those almost unattainable records. Amazingly, while he averaged allowing less than two runs per game, he still somehow lost six times.



Now, on to analyze the batters, beginning with the American League. The league as a whole batted just .235, which is again testament to the pitching of the day. Remember, this is before Joe Jackson, Babe Ruth and Tris Speaker, to name a few. 1906 marked the sophomore season of “The Georgia Peach”, Ty Cobb, who hit .316 in 98 games for the Tigers as a nineteen year old.

(As an aside, Cobb is one of just three men to have hit a home-run before their twentieth birthday, and after their fortieth. The other two are Rusty Staub and Alex Rodriguez)

Since homers were not a crucial part of the game during this era, I am going to highlight Runs Scored as a better indicator of worth. That being said, the overall numbers look like this:
Name
Team
Runs
RBI
AVG
SB
Harry Davis
Athletics
94
96
.292
23
Napoleon Lajoie
Cleveland
88
91
.355
20
George Stone
Browns
91
71
.358
35
Sam Crawford
Tigers
65
72
.295
24
Elmer Flick
Cleveland
98
62
.311
39
Hal Chase
NY Highlanders
84
76
.323
28
George Davis
White Sox
63
80
.277
27
Frank LaPorte
NY Highlanders
60
54
.264
10
Jimmy Williams
NY Highlanders
61
77
.277
8
Charlie Hemphill
Browns
90
62
.289
33


And against their teams:
Name
Team
Runs
RBI
AVG
SB
Sam Crawford





Harry Davis





George Stone





Moose Grimshaw
Boston
46
48
.290
5
George Davis





Napoleon Lajoie





Charlie Hemphill





Chick Stahl
Boston
63
51
.286
13
Bobby Wallace
Browns
64
67
.258
24
Frank Isbell
White Sox
71
57
.279
37


Before I get to the big reveal, I want to highlight the top ten in runs created, which in my formula, weighs very heavy in the calculations. As I mentioned before, runs are what each player strives for. Runs equals wins. So my formula highlights and rewards the setting up of the runs, as well as the actual runs themselves. So here are the top run creators in the AL for 1906:
Name
Team
Runs Created
RC/Game
Napoleon Lajoie
Cleveland
179
1.18
Harry Davis
Athletics
178
1.23*
Hal Chase
NY Highlanders
160
1.06
Elmer Flick
Cleveland
159
1.01
George Stone
Browns
156
1.01
Charlie Hemphill
Browns
148
0.96
Terry Turner
Cleveland
145
0.99
George Davis
White Sox
143
1.08
Sam Crawford
Detroit
135
0.93
Jimmy Williams
NY Highlanders
135
0.97
*led the league

And now, the best offensive players in the AL for 1906:
Name
Team
Harry Davis
Athletics
George Stone
Browns
Sam Crawford
Detroit
Napoleon Lajoie
Cleveland
George Davis
White Sox
Hal Chase
NY Highlanders
Moose Grimshaw
Boston
Elmer Flick
Cleveland
Charlie Hemphill
Browns
Frank LaPorte
NY Highlanders


Over in the National League, where the pitching rich Cubs dominated, the offense was a little more varied. Overall number:
Name
Team
Runs
RBI
AVG
SB
Frank Chance
Cubs
103
71
0.319
57
Honus Wagner
Pirates
103
71
0.339
53
Harry Steinfeldt
Cubs
81
83
0.327
29
Roger Bresnahan
Giants
69
43
0.281
25
Harry Lumley
Brooklyn
72
61
0.324
35
Tim Jordan
Brooklyn
67
78
0.262
16
Joe Nealon
Pirates
82
83
0.255
15
Art Devlin
Giants
76
65
0.299
54
Fred Clarke
Pirates
69
39
0.309
18
Cy Seymour
NL Total
70
80
0.286
29


And then against their team:
Name
Team
Runs
RBI
AVG
SB
Harry Lumley
Brooklyn




Tim Jordan
Brooklyn




Honus Wagner
Pirates




Johnny Bates
Braves
52
54
0.252
9
Del Howard
Braves
46
54
0.261
17
Fred Tenney
Braves
61
28
0.283
17
Frank Chance
Cubs




Sherry Magee
Phillies
77
67
0.282
55
Dave Brain
Braves
43
45
0.250
11
Cozy Dolan
Braves
54
39
0.248
17


Now we'll look at the top run producers in the NL:
Name
Team
Runs created
RC/game
Honus Wagner
Pirates
172
1.21
Frank Chance
Cubs
171
1.26*
Joe Nealon
Pirates
162
1.05
Harry Steinfeldt
Cubs
161
1.07
Cy Seymour
NL Total
142
0.94
Art Devlin
Giants
139
0.94
Joe Tinker
Cubs
138
0.93
Sherry Magee
Phillies
138
0.90
Jim Sheckard
Cubs
134
0.90
Tim Jordan
Brooklyn
133
1.03


So, the top 10 National League players offensively, with the audited numbers are as follows:
Honus Wagner
Pirates
Frank Chance
Cubs
Harry Lumley
Brooklyn
Tim Jordan
Brooklyn
Harry Steinfeldt
Cubs
Roger Bresnahan
Giants
Sherry Magee
Phillies
Joe Nealon
Pirates
Art Devlin
Giants
Cy Seymour
Reds/Giants


Historical notes here, the Reds sold Cy Seymour to the Giants for $12,000 on July 12th of that year. And Giants catcher Roger Bresnahan became the first catcher to wear shin guards, in 1907. he also is said to have helped develop the first batting helmet. He was elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame in 1945.

So, now to the post season awards. For the pitchers, it is hard to 'award' a Cy Young Award for excellence in pitching in a season where Cy himself was still going strong. (The thirty-nine year old won thirteen games and lost twenty-one).

Plus, in a slight digression, of which I have many, I think that the annual award for pitching should be named for Walter Johnson. I believe Johnson was a much better pitcher than Young, and for over fifty years, he was the only pitcher to have struck out over three thousand batters. But, more on this at a much later date.
For right now, in both leagues, the pitchers would have swept both awards. Top 5 were:
American League
National League
Doc White
Mordecai Brown
Harry Davis
Jack Pfister
George Stone
Honus Wagner
Sam Crawford
Ed Reulbach
Addie Joss
Harry Steinfeldt

Guy Harris "Doc" White


Mordecai Peter Centennial "Three-Finger" Brown